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Vitamin D meta
6/25 Early, Late, PrEP, PEP
Covid Analysis (Preprint) (meta analysis)
Vitamin D for COVID-19: real-time meta analysis of 87 studies
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• 93% of 28 vitamin D treatment studies report positive effects (15 statistically significant in isolation).
• Random effects meta-analysis with pooled effects using the most serious outcome reported shows 78% and 53% improvement for early treatment and for all studies (RR 0.22 [0.12-0.39] and 0.47 [0.37-0.60]). Results are similar after restriction to 25 peer-reviewed studies: 83% and 55% (RR 0.17 [0.07-0.42] and 0.45 [0.35-0.59]), and for the 16 mortality results: 78% and 63% (RR 0.22 [0.12-0.43] and 0.37 [0.24-0.57]).
• Late stage treatment with calcifediol/calcitriol shows greater improvement compared to cholecalciferol: 80% versus 48% (RR 0.20 [0.13-0.31] and 0.52 [0.33-0.82]). The only treatment study reporting a negative effect is a very late stage cholecalciferol study.
Heterogeneity arises from many factors including treatment delay, patient population, the effect measured, variants, the form of vitamin D used, and treatment regimens. The consistency of positive results across a wide variety of cases is remarkable.
Sufficiency studies show a strong association between vitamin D sufficiency and outcomes. Meta analysis of the 59 studies with pooled effects using the most serious outcome reported shows 56% improvement (RR 0.44 [0.36-0.53]).
• While many treatments have some level of efficacy, they do not replace vaccines and other measures to avoid infection. Only 7% of vitamin D treatment studies show zero events in the treatment arm.
• Elimination of COVID-19 is a race against viral evolution. No treatment, vaccine, or intervention is 100% available and effective for all current and future variants. All practical, effective, and safe means should be used. Not doing so increases the risk of COVID-19 becoming endemic; and increases mortality, morbidity, and collateral damage.
• All data to reproduce this paper and the sources are in the appendix.
ImprovementStudies AuthorsPatients
Treatment RCTs 45% [-17‑74%] 5 53 482
Treatment studies 53% [40‑63%] 28 289 25,318
Cholecalciferol treatment 45% [31‑57%] 23 228 17,778
Calcifediol/calcitriol treatment 70% [52‑82%] 5 61 7,540
Treatment mortality 63% [43‑76%] 16 152 9,433
Sufficiency studies 56% [47‑64%] 59 495 32,308


All 112 studies
Please send us corrections, updates, or comments. Vaccines and treatments are both extremely valuable and complementary. All practical, effective, and safe means should be used. Elimination of COVID-19 is a race against viral evolution. No treatment, vaccine, or intervention is 100% available and effective for all current and future variants. Denying the efficacy of any method increases the risk of COVID-19 becoming endemic; and increases mortality, morbidity, and collateral damage. We do not provide medical advice. Before taking any medication, consult a qualified physician who can provide personalized advice and details of risks and benefits based on your medical history and situation. Treatment protocols for physicians are available from the FLCCC.
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